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May 2024

Local elections 2024: Liz Truss effect?
Data from local elections suggests Conservatives are still very visibly paying the price for the former PM's economic experiment
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Patrick English
A very quick look at today's locals
A 'cheat sheet' for the results as they come in over the next few days, and some thoughts on ' will Sunak do a Sanchez?'
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Patrick English

February 2024

Kingswood, Wellingborough, Westminster
We all know we shouldn't look to by-elections to tell us about what might happen at a general... so let's do it anyway
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Patrick English
How many “Don't knows” could a pollster know if a pollster knew unknowns?
Despite a laser focus on polling uncertainty in CCHQ, such signals are in fact only mixed for the Conservatives
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Patrick English
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October 2023

Tamworth and Mid-Beds - a quick dissection
The headline results for Labour are fantastic, but are we seeing enough evidence of direct switching?
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Patrick English
Post-conference polling and by-elections
A three-topic bumper edition as voters head to the polls in two intriguing contests
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Patrick English

June 2023

Early Elections and Mortgage Madness
How rising rates will further damage Conservative prospects in key areas
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Patrick English

May 2023

Locals 2023: Unpicking the results
Labour, the Lib Dems, and the Greens all winner at the expense of a floundering Conservative Party
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Patrick English
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Local Elections 2023: What to look out for as voters in 230 local authorities head to the polls tomorrow
Hundreds of wards across a range of fascinating Red Wall, Blue Wall, parliamentary bellwether, and ultra-marginal areas are up for grabs.
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Patrick English

March 2023

The Political Consequences of the Cost of Living Crisis
How YouGov's 'Cost of Living' population segments break down across political walls
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Patrick English

January 2023

A Changing Political Demography: The Great Ageing of cities and the Benjamin Buttons beyond them
Ahead of micro-level 2021 Census data releases, I check in on what local authority level data can tell us about the changing age profile of England and…
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Patrick English
© 2024 Patrick English
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